Published context. Explicit assumptions. Traceable results.
Public evidence anchors a modelled customer portfolio
Seed 20260925. Regional 763,000 is a synthetic demonstration control, not an asserted current Ergon Retail customer count. All generated customer, price, weather, meter, credit, workforce and hedge records are synthetic.
Collection manifest points to each retained CSV and SHA256. Raw settlement timestamps are interval ends in NEM time (UTC+10). Before October 2021 the series is half-hourly; later six five-minute observations are averaged per half-hour. All 2069 days have 48 complete price/demand values. Demand is whole-region MW, not Ergon retail demand. Future prices and customer-specific exposure remain modelled.
Tariff rates in tariff-benchmarks.json are nominal cents excluding GST. Retail regulated tariff, not actual customer assignment. Tariff codes have distinct time windows and eligibility.
All stated tariff rates exclude GST. T12F table visually checked, PDF page 7. Free 11:00–14:00 usage capped at 24 kWh/day, then 7.365 c/kWh; day 14:00–16:00 7.365, peak 16:00–21:00 44.456, other times 24.011. T22D peak is weekdays only. No published tariff after June 2027 is asserted.
Figure 2.1 and 2.2, printed page 5 (PDF page 8), typical bills visually verified; amounts include GST. Uses QCA median usage assumptions, not the synthetic portfolio. Rounded chart bars must not be treated as an exact invoice oracle.
SSO policy context and tariff12F design. Published offer does not establish customer uptake, load shift or call elasticity.
Appendix B, Table 3, printed page 6 (PDF page 7) visually verified. Medians from actual Ergon Retail customers. Compare the corresponding tariff median, not a different population mean.
Table 2 printed page 7; published tariff excludes GST. Apply customer GST registration treatment separately. The same comparison table gives 2025–26 rate. Legacy Solar Bonus Scheme eligibility is separate.
Published regulatory modelling workbook retained for sensitivity assumptions. Its forecast outputs are model results, not measured future spot prices; no extracted value is silently applied.
Exact extracted workbook cells retained in aer-ergon-benchmarks.json. These are retailer reporting aggregates, not a customer microdataset or causal response. Do not equate 741548 residential+small-business retail customers with the network footprint. Debt indicator scope/method changed over time; preserve workbook notes.
Exact extracted workbook cells retained in aer-ergon-benchmarks.json. These are retailer reporting aggregates, not a customer microdataset or causal response. Do not equate 741548 residential+small-business retail customers with the network footprint. Debt indicator scope/method changed over time; preserve workbook notes.
Exact extracted workbook cells retained in aer-ergon-benchmarks.json. These are retailer reporting aggregates, not a customer microdataset or causal response. Do not equate 741548 residential+small-business retail customers with the network footprint. Debt indicator scope/method changed over time; preserve workbook notes.
Exact extracted workbook cells retained in aer-ergon-benchmarks.json. These are retailer reporting aggregates, not a customer microdataset or causal response. Do not equate 741548 residential+small-business retail customers with the network footprint. Debt indicator scope/method changed over time; preserve workbook notes.
Cached workbook values read without executing macros. Total network prices include distribution, designated pricing proposal costs and jurisdictional scheme amounts. Flat East/West benchmark packet retains cell references. Metering, tariff assignment, losses, market and green charges require separate evidence. Isolated Mt Isa tariff excluded from NEM benchmark packet.
Approval context for retained network pricing workbook; not a customer tariff assignment.
Retained all postcode rows; selected six postcodes and 2021+ monthly data extracted in cer-selected-postcodes.json. Counts are registered installation events, include upgrades/off-grid where eligible, and can lag installation by up to 12 months. They are not unique homes or an automatically mapped Ergon customer share.
Retained all postcode rows; selected six postcodes and 2021+ monthly data extracted in cer-selected-postcodes.json. Counts are registered installation events, include upgrades/off-grid where eligible, and can lag installation by up to 12 months. They are not unique homes or an automatically mapped Ergon customer share.
Four retained API responses; 5721 daily rows. Published gridded reanalysis (MERRA2/SYN1DEG/POWER), not station or household measurements. NASA local solar time is not AEST. Radiation kWh/m²/day is converted to MJ/m²/day by 3.6 in weather-daily.json. Nulls remain null. Historical weather scenarios and PV conversion remain modelled.
Aggregate context only; not current individual income, wealth, vulnerability or eligibility. Geography covers all Queensland, not the Ergon portfolio.
Full workbook retained; selected six postal areas in seifa-selected-postcodes.json with exact row references. SEIFA is an area-level relative index; do not infer a named household's income, hardship, health or ability to pay. Postal areas are not exact network boundaries; postcode4825 spans states.
National aggregate and older survey reference year. Mean wealth is not median wealth or local wealth. Do not assign asset balances to synthetic people as observed data.
Approximate actual CSO is audit context. It does not establish the marginal subsidy reimbursement formula for a new tariff, and customer rebates must not be counted as CSO. L9 subsidy changes require a separately confirmed mechanism.
61 monthly points extracted to ev-qld-monthly.json. Includes private, commercial and dealership vehicles, multiple vehicle types. Vehicle fleet penetration is not household EV ownership. Source low-emission penetration text says 42%; this ambiguous percentage is excluded, not silently corrected.
Sections4.5 and4.6 distinguish record400 interval-event quality ranges from record500 B2B details. Record500 is not a substitution record. Retained as the inspected format reference; current-version conformance must be checked before production retailer ingestion.
Printed pages1–2 and6 confirm500AUD inclusiveGST and repayment-agreement condition in rule116(1)(g). This floor does not authorise disconnection and does not displace life-support or hardship protections.
Page6 and footnote16: Queensland market-contract price increases require10businessdays notice; generic national5-day guidance must not be applied blindly. Fixed-price period changes have separate requirements. Rule46exceptions and contract type must be checked. Code section on page1 applies to NSW/SA/SEQ, not directly to regional Queensland; regionalSSO uses QCAdecision.
Pages7–10 distinguish initial registration upon advice from medical confirmation and deregistration. No household health records were obtained. Packet coverage begins guide publication; not asserted as the legal commencement date.
Numerical claims are bound to the result, scope and equation · 465 of 465 shown
| Figure | Value | Unit | Authority | Period | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East · Residential · basic · none · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-01-2026-07 | $24.34M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · basic · solar · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-02-2026-07 | $7.68M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · basic · ev · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-03-2026-07 | $2.85M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · none · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-04-2026-07 | $16.58M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · none · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-05-2026-07 | $7.34M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · solar · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-06-2026-07 | $9.23M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · solar · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-07-2026-07 | $6.05M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · solar + battery · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-08-2026-07 | $3.43M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · ev · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-09-2026-07 | $6.73M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · solar + ev · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-10-2026-07 | $4.9M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · solar + battery · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-11-2026-07 | $2.6M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Residential · smart · solar + ev · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-12-2026-07 | $4.8M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · basic · none · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-13-2026-07 | $10.03M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · basic · solar · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-14-2026-07 | $2.95M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · basic · ev · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-15-2026-07 | $1.23M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · none · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-16-2026-07 | $6.84M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · none · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-17-2026-07 | $3.13M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · solar · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-18-2026-07 | $3.54M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · solar · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-19-2026-07 | $2.32M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · solar + battery · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-20-2026-07 | $1.21M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · ev · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-21-2026-07 | $2.99M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · solar + ev · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-22-2026-07 | $2.01M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · solar + battery · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-23-2026-07 | $922.85K | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| East · Business · smart · solar + ev · tou bill 2026-07bill-cohort-24-2026-07 | $1.96M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 | |
| West · Residential · basic · none · flat bill 2026-07bill-cohort-25-2026-07 | $4.64M | AUD | modelled | 2026-07 |